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Hypothesis Tracker
A living document of predictions I've made about rural fintech, policy outcomes, and Vietnam's digital economy — with accountability.
12 hypotheses tracked
Experiments
Theory without practice is speculation. Here's where I put my ideas to the test — tracking predictions, documenting real-world experiments, and holding myself accountable to outcomes.
Why Track Experiments?
Anyone can make predictions after the fact. The only way to know if your mental models are actually useful is to make predictions before you know the outcome, write them down, and track your hit rate. I'm wrong more often than I'd like to admit — but that's how the models get better.
archive
What I Tried at Grab
Real experiments I ran or contributed to during my decade at Grab — what worked, what failed, and what I learned.
8 experiments documented
“Strong opinions, weakly held — but written down, timestamped, and tracked.”